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BETHESDA UNIVERSITY

FLAMESBTHS

0-0  |  Road

48
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 5:00 PM ET
UCCU Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

9-3  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
FLAMES --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Utah Valley)
FlamesBTHS (-3.5) 0 WolverinesUVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

0.3%

Wolverines Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVU -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)

BTHS By 1-7 points

0.3%

BTHS By 8-14 points

0.0%

UVU By 1-7 points

2.2%

UVU By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
63
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
90
UTAH VALLEY
Simulated Score
47
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
95
UTAH VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (-11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 BTHS @ UVU 48 - 109
Dec 28, 2024 BTHS @ UVU 59 - 119
Dec 17, 2021 BTHS @ UVU 65 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +496.6% more
Utah Valley: 7.0 vs Bethesda University: 1.2
Assists (L5) +132.3% more
Utah Valley: 19.5 vs Bethesda University: 8.4
Steals (L5) +69.3% more
Utah Valley: 9.8 vs Bethesda University: 5.8
Rebounding (L5) +32.6% more
Utah Valley: 36.7 vs Bethesda University: 27.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BTHS Score 63.0 48
UVU Score 90.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.6 / 26.5 31.0 / 30.0
Assists 19.5 / 8.4 30.0 / 12.0
Blocks 7.0 / 1.2 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 51.0 / 32.0 55.0 / 25.0
Free Throw % 75.4 / 60.3 83.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 27.7 65.0 / 23.0
Steals 9.8 / 5.8 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 15.1 14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BTHS
--
UVU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BTHS
--
UVU Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BTHS
--
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVU
BTHS
UVU
BTHS
ML
56% 18-14
100% 7-0
72% 23-9
100% 7-0
ATS
53% 17-15
100% 7-0
74% 25-9
100% 7-0
TTL
44% 14-18
71% 5-2
100% 34-0
100% 7-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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