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BUCKNELL

BISONBUCK

3-9  |  Road

39
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 6:00 PM ET
Casey's Center
View Odds Details →

IOWA

HAWKEYESIOWA

9-2  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
📊
HAWKEYES
0%
BISON --
HAWKEYES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Iowa)
BisonBUCK (-3.5) 0 HawkeyesIOWA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

1.8%

Hawkeyes Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IOWA -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IOWA)

BUCK By 1-7 points

1.4%

BUCK By 8-14 points

0.2%

IOWA By 1-7 points

6.8%

IOWA By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
59
BUCKNELL
80
IOWA
Simulated Score
68
BUCKNELL
85
IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hawkeyes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawkeyes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawkeyes (+25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Hawkeyes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o134.5 Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 BUCK @ IOWA 39 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +50.0% more
Iowa: 3.4 vs Bucknell: 2.2
Assists (L5) +45.1% more
Iowa: 18.2 vs Bucknell: 12.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.2%
Iowa: 42.9% vs Bucknell: 27.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +11.9%
Iowa: 51.3% vs Bucknell: 39.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score 59.0 39
IOWA Score 80.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.9 / 27.7 38.0 / 22.0
Assists 18.2 / 12.5 18.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.4 / 2.2 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 51.3 / 39.4 60.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 63.2 / 72.1 83.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 33.6 36.0 / 16.0
Steals 6.6 / 7.4 19.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 11.7 9.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
IOWA Advantage
24-13-0 (64.9%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
IOWA Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.3
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IOWA
BUCK
IOWA
BUCK
ML
59% 22-15
55% 18-15
78% 28-8
64% 21-12
ATS
76% 28-9
45% 15-18
78% 28-8
64% 21-12
TTL
57% 21-16
61% 20-13
100% 36-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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