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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

17-10-6  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 12:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

17-15-4  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Cam York
GOALTENDER

Cam York

#8 | Defense
@
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Cam York None-None -- -- --
Igor Shesterkin None-None 3.69 0.875 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 3.69
-- Save % 0.875
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
RANGERS
0%
FLYERS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New York)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

6.7%

Rangers Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)

PHI By 1 goal

2.8%

PHI By 2-3 goals

1.2%

NYR By 1 goal

12.1%

NYR By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
PHILADELPHIA
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rangers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rangers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 NYR @ PHI 6 - 2
Feb 26, 2026 PHI @ NYR 3 - 2
Jan 17, 2026 NYR @ PHI 6 - 3
Dec 20, 2025 PHI @ NYR 4 - 5
Apr 9, 2025 PHI @ NYR 8 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +29.9% more
New York: 4.5 vs Philadelphia: 3.5
Power Play % (L5) +25.8%
New York: 27.1% vs Philadelphia: 1.3%
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.8% more
New York: 27.2 vs Philadelphia: 24.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 1.0 4
NYR Score 4.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
76%MONEY24%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
PHI
NYR
PHI
ML
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
ATS
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
TTL
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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