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CHICAGO STATE

COUGARSCHST

2-10  |  Road

58
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 1:00 PM ET
Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

HOOSIERSIU

8-3  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
📊
HOOSIERS
0%
COUGARS --
HOOSIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-48.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +48.0 points (Indiana)
CougarsCHST (-3.5) 0 HoosiersIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

0.0%

Hoosiers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IU -48.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)

CHST By 1-7 points

0.0%

CHST By 8-14 points

0.0%

IU By 1-7 points

0.0%

IU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
35
CHICAGO STATE
83
INDIANA
Simulated Score
55
CHICAGO STATE
85
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hoosiers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hoosiers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hoosiers (-36.5) Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Sim Hoosiers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 CHST @ IU 58 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +78.7% more
Indiana: 16.8 vs Chicago State: 9.4
Field Goal % (L5) +10.7%
Indiana: 46.3% vs Chicago State: 35.6%
Blocks (L5) +8.3% more
Indiana: 2.4 vs Chicago State: 2.2
Free Throw % (L5) +4.6%
Indiana: 80.5% vs Chicago State: 75.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHST Score 35.0 58
IU Score 83.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 30.0 33.0 / 20.0
Assists 16.8 / 9.4 24.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.2 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 35.6 42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 80.5 / 75.9 61.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 36.9 44.0 / 33.0
Steals 5.1 / 9.3 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 12.0 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHST
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
IU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHST Advantage
15-15-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
IU
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
IU
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IU
CHST
IU
CHST
ML
66% 21-11
75% 24-8
71% 22-9
73% 22-8
ATS
53% 17-15
69% 22-10
71% 22-9
73% 22-8
TTL
56% 18-14
44% 14-18
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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