HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
5-7 | Road
53
HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
5-6 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
CRIMSON
0%
CRUSADERS
--
CRIMSON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
HARVARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Harvard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HARV -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HARV)
HC By 1-7 points
0.1%
HC By 8-14 points
0.0%
HARV By 1-7 points
1.4%
HARV By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross
60
HOLY CROSS
Harvard
89
HARVARD
Simulated Score
Holy Cross
68
HOLY CROSS
Harvard
72
HARVARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Crimson
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Crimson (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Crimson (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
HC @ HARV
53 - 81
Dec 4, 2024
HARV @ HC
67 - 68
Dec 21, 2023
HC @ HARV
72 - 74
Nov 30, 2022
HARV @ HC
72 - 38
Dec 19, 2021
HC @ HARV
54 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+45.6% more
Harvard: 8.8
vs
Holy Cross: 6.1
Assists (L5)
+24.2% more
Harvard: 13.6
vs
Holy Cross: 11.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
Harvard: 75.7%
vs
Holy Cross: 72.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Harvard: 44.5%
vs
Holy Cross: 41.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HC Score
60.0
53
HARV Score
89.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 29.7
50.0 / 20.0
Assists
13.6 / 11.0
15.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.3
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 41.8
60.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 72.1
80.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
30.3 / 32.6
38.0 / 25.0
Steals
8.8 / 6.1
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 10.1
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
HARV
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HARV
HC
HARV
HC
ML
45%
13-16
52%
16-15
52%
15-14
61%
19-12
ATS
45%
13-16
55%
17-14
52%
15-14
64%
21-12
TTL
41%
12-17
58%
18-13
100%
29-0
100%
33-0
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