LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
5-6 | Road
81
ST. BONAVENTURE
BONNIESSBU
10-2 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
BONNIES
0%
DOLPHINS
--
BONNIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
ST. BONAVENTURE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (St. Bonaventure)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SBU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SBU)
LEM By 1-7 points
1.4%
LEM By 8-14 points
0.2%
SBU By 1-7 points
6.8%
SBU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Le Moyne
48
LE MOYNE
St. Bonaventure
69
ST. BONAVENTURE
Simulated Score
Le Moyne
65
LE MOYNE
St. Bonaventure
78
ST. BONAVENTURE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bonnies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies (-20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Bonnies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
LEM @ SBU
81 - 92
Nov 16, 2024
LEM @ SBU
52 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+49.9% more
St. Bonaventure: 17.7
vs
Le Moyne: 11.8
Steals (L5)
+35.3% more
St. Bonaventure: 9.0
vs
Le Moyne: 6.6
Rebounding (L5)
+16.6% more
St. Bonaventure: 37.1
vs
Le Moyne: 31.8
Turnovers (L5)
+13.4% more
St. Bonaventure: 13.9
vs
Le Moyne: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEM Score
48.0
81
SBU Score
69.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 35.2
50.0 / 37.0
Assists
17.7 / 11.8
16.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.4 / 4.2
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 43.7
48.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 74.6
77.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 31.8
36.0 / 31.0
Steals
9.0 / 6.6
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 12.3
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
SBU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
SBU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SBU
LEM
SBU
LEM
ML
59%
20-14
68%
21-10
61%
20-13
68%
21-10
ATS
50%
17-17
65%
20-11
61%
20-13
69%
22-10
TTL
38%
13-21
42%
13-18
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Kansas Jayhawks Lose RB Yasin Willis Indefinitely, Backfield Dep…
Heat Fill Training Camp Roster with Rookie Signings, Keep Option…
Arizona's Gamble on Clemson Transfer RJ Godfrey Could Pay Off Bi…
Houston Cougars' Re'Shaun Sanford II Overcomes Two ACL Tears to …