LOUISIANA
RAGIN' CAJUNSUL
1-11 | Road
76
UL MONROE
WARHAWKSULM
3-9 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
WARHAWKS
0%
RAGIN' CAJUNS
--
WARHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UL MONROE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (UL Monroe)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ULM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ULM)
UL By 1-7 points
24.3%
UL By 8-14 points
13.7%
ULM By 1-7 points
26.2%
ULM By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Louisiana
67
LOUISIANA
UL Monroe
68
UL MONROE
Simulated Score
Louisiana
65
LOUISIANA
UL Monroe
78
UL MONROE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Warhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Warhawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Warhawks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Warhawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
ULM @ UL
79 - 85
Dec 20, 2025
UL @ ULM
76 - 62
Mar 4, 2025
ULM @ UL
69 - 73
Jan 18, 2025
UL @ ULM
65 - 60
Jan 11, 2025
ULM @ UL
68 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+102.3% more
UL Monroe: 16.2
vs
Louisiana: 8.0
Blocks (L5)
+79.1% more
UL Monroe: 5.0
vs
Louisiana: 2.8
Turnovers (L5)
+20.5% more
UL Monroe: 15.5
vs
Louisiana: 12.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
UL Monroe: 35.5%
vs
Louisiana: 27.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UL Score
67.0
76
ULM Score
68.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 27.4
40.0 / 48.0
Assists
16.2 / 8.0
10.0 / 19.0
Blocks
5.0 / 2.8
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 34.9
36.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 69.1
79.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 32.7
30.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.5 / 6.1
3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 12.9
14.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UL
Advantage
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -0.8
ULM
4-28-0
(12.5%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UL
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -0.8
ULM
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.3
ULM
20-9-1
O: 69.0% / U: 31.0%
Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ULM
UL
ULM
UL
ML
50%
16-16
66%
21-11
70%
21-9
63%
19-11
ATS
78%
25-7
66%
21-11
70%
21-9
63%
19-11
TTL
59%
19-13
62%
20-12
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
.jpg)
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …