JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
4-6 | Road
81
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
BUCCANEERSETSU
8-4 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
0%
BUCCANEERS
100%
GAMECOCKS
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ETSU +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ETSU)
JXST By 1-7 points
27.4%
JXST By 8-14 points
21.6%
ETSU By 1-7 points
20.1%
ETSU By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Jacksonville State
66
JACKSONVILLE STATE
East Tennessee State
62
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Simulated Score
Jacksonville State
68
JACKSONVILLE STATE
East Tennessee State
72
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Gamecocks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buccaneers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Buccaneers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u134.5
Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
JXST @ ETSU
81 - 75
Dec 3, 2023
ETSU @ JXST
61 - 59
Dec 3, 2022
JXST @ ETSU
63 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+12.5% more
Jacksonville State: 37.5
vs
East Tennessee State: 32.8
Blocks (L5)
+103.2% more
East Tennessee State: 4.4
vs
Jacksonville State: 2.2
Steals (L5)
+40.8% more
East Tennessee State: 7.4
vs
Jacksonville State: 5.2
Assists (L5)
+29.5% more
East Tennessee State: 14.9
vs
Jacksonville State: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JXST Score
66.0
81
ETSU Score
62.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 29.0
53.0 / 50.0
Assists
14.9 / 11.5
11.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.4 / 2.2
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 39.4
54.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
71.7 / 60.5
79.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 37.5
20.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.4 / 5.2
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 10.8
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JXST
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
ETSU
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JXST
Advantage
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
ETSU
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
ETSU
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ETSU
JXST
ETSU
JXST
ML
42%
14-19
50%
16-16
70%
23-10
55%
17-14
ATS
58%
19-14
62%
20-12
70%
23-10
55%
17-14
TTL
45%
15-18
62%
20-12
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
