LOYOLA CHICAGO
RAMBLERSLUC
3-9 | Road
80
SANTA CLARA
BRONCOSSCU
9-3 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
100%
BRONCOS
0%
RAMBLERS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Santa Clara)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)
LUC By 1-7 points
4.8%
LUC By 8-14 points
1.1%
SCU By 1-7 points
15.3%
SCU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Chicago
70
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Santa Clara
85
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
Loyola Chicago
68
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Santa Clara
72
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Broncos
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Broncos (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
LUC @ SCU
80 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+161.6% more
Santa Clara: 7.6
vs
Loyola Chicago: 2.9
Turnovers (L5)
+51.9% more
Santa Clara: 16.0
vs
Loyola Chicago: 10.5
Assists (L5)
+35.8% more
Santa Clara: 16.5
vs
Loyola Chicago: 12.2
Blocks (L5)
+25.1% more
Santa Clara: 3.2
vs
Loyola Chicago: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LUC Score
70.0
80
SCU Score
85.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 26.0
32.0 / 37.0
Assists
16.5 / 12.2
19.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.6
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 42.9
40.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
69.4 / 67.6
78.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 35.6
33.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.6 / 2.9
5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 10.5
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
SCU
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
SCU
Advantage
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
LUC
SCU
LUC
ML
44%
15-19
55%
18-15
73%
22-8
50%
16-16
ATS
53%
18-16
64%
21-12
74%
23-8
50%
16-16
TTL
47%
16-18
76%
25-8
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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