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STANFORD

CARDINALSTAN

9-2  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 8:00 PM ET
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COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

10-1  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINAL
100%
📊
BUFFALOES
0%
CARDINAL --
BUFFALOES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
CardinalSTAN (-3.5) 0 BuffaloesCOLO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinal Cover

46.0%

Buffaloes Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLO -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

STAN By 1-7 points

24.3%

STAN By 8-14 points

13.7%

COLO By 1-7 points

26.2%

COLO By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
67
STANFORD
68
COLORADO
Simulated Score
72
STANFORD
78
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buffaloes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes (+4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Buffaloes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 STAN @ COLO 77 - 68
Mar 3, 2024 STAN @ COLO 71 - 81
Feb 5, 2023 STAN @ COLO 62 - 84
Dec 29, 2022 COLO @ STAN 73 - 70
Feb 19, 2022 COLO @ STAN 70 - 53
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +91.6% more
Colorado: 4.8 vs Stanford: 2.5
Assists (L5) +20.5% more
Colorado: 16.3 vs Stanford: 13.5
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Colorado: 50.4% vs Stanford: 48.2%
Turnovers (L5) +24.2% more
Stanford: 13.6 vs Colorado: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STAN Score 67.0 77
COLO Score 68.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.4 / 37.8 24.0 / 33.0
Assists 16.3 / 13.5 15.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.8 / 2.5 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.4 / 48.2 47.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 72.9 / 72.7 92.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 35.4 28.0 / 35.0
Steals 8.0 / 7.6 7.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 13.6 18.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STAN Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STAN
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
COLO Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.9
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
STAN
COLO
STAN
ML
61% 20-13
48% 16-17
69% 22-10
50% 16-16
ATS
73% 24-9
48% 16-17
69% 22-10
50% 16-16
TTL
45% 15-18
55% 18-15
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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