Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Quakers @ Scarlet Knights PENN @ RUTG

PENNSYLVANIA

QUAKERSPENN

6-4  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 8:00 PM ET
Jersey Mike’s Arena
View Odds Details →

RUTGERS

SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG

5-6  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
QUAKERS
0%
📊
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
QUAKERS --
SCARLET KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-48.0
PENNSYLVANIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +48.0 points (Pennsylvania)
QuakersPENN (-3.5) 0 Scarlet KnightsRUTG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Quakers Cover

100.0%

Scarlet Knights Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PENN -48.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PENN)

PENN By 1-7 points

0.0%

PENN By 8-14 points

0.0%

RUTG By 1-7 points

0.0%

RUTG By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
86
PENNSYLVANIA
38
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
65
PENNSYLVANIA
78
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Quakers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Scarlet Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Quakers (-12.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Sim Scarlet Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 PENN @ RUTG 69 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +38.7% more
Pennsylvania: 16.5 vs Rutgers: 10.1
Rebounding (L5) +13.1% more
Pennsylvania: 35.5 vs Rutgers: 30.8
Blocks (L5) +12.6% more
Pennsylvania: 2.5 vs Rutgers: 2.2
Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Pennsylvania: 42.3% vs Rutgers: 38.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PENN Score 86.0 69
RUTG Score 38.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 38.4 15.0 / 24.0
Assists 10.1 / 16.5 7.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.2 / 2.5 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 38.8 / 42.3 41.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 68.6 / 59.1 68.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 30.8 / 35.5 29.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.2 / 5.9 8.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 11.0 6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PENN
--
RUTG Advantage
14-20-0 (41.2%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PENN
--
RUTG Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PENN
--
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
PENN
RUTG
PENN
ML
53% 18-16
53% 16-14
70% 23-10
76% 22-7
ATS
68% 23-11
63% 19-11
70% 23-10
76% 22-7
TTL
53% 18-16
70% 21-9
100% 33-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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