AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
187.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-71.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +71.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMCC -71.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)
SOUTH By 1-7 points
0.0%
SOUTH By 8-14 points
0.0%
AMCC By 1-7 points
0.0%
AMCC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Southwestern Adventist
58
SOUTHWESTERN ADVENTIST
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
129
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Simulated Score
Southwestern Adventist
48
SOUTHWESTERN ADVENTIST
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
105
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -71.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -57.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 187.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
SOUTH @ AMCC
36 - 93
Dec 18, 2024
SOUTH @ AMCC
63 - 117
Nov 7, 2023
SOUTH @ AMCC
46 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+182.6% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 4.1
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 1.4
Rebounding (L5)
+84.3% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 40.4
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 21.9
Assists (L5)
+41.9% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 13.6
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 9.6
Steals (L5)
+33.8% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 7.3
vs
Southwestern Adventist: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SOUTH Score
58.0
36
AMCC Score
129.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 33.8
41.0 / 7.0
Assists
13.6 / 9.6
23.0 / 5.0
Blocks
4.1 / 1.4
6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 36.4
48.0 / 21.0
Free Throw %
63.1 / 78.5
62.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 21.9
61.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.3 / 5.4
15.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 19.5
15.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SOUTH
--
AMCC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SOUTH
--
AMCC
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SOUTH
--
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMCC
SOUTH
AMCC
SOUTH
ML
70%
21-9
100%
3-0
67%
18-9
100%
3-0
ATS
67%
20-10
100%
3-0
67%
18-9
100%
3-0
TTL
60%
18-12
67%
2-1
100%
27-0
100%
3-0