RICE
OWLSRICE
6-6 | Road
62
PEPPERDINE
WAVESPEPP
4-8 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
WAVES
0%
OWLS
--
WAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
PEPPERDINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Pepperdine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PEPP -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PEPP)
RICE By 1-7 points
0.0%
RICE By 8-14 points
0.0%
PEPP By 1-7 points
0.4%
PEPP By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Rice
52
RICE
Pepperdine
86
PEPPERDINE
Simulated Score
Rice
73
RICE
Pepperdine
78
PEPPERDINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Waves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Waves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Waves (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Waves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
RICE @ PEPP
62 - 84
Nov 7, 2022
RICE @ PEPP
67 - 106
Nov 9, 2021
PEPP @ RICE
63 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.4% more
Pepperdine: 14.8
vs
Rice: 11.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
Pepperdine: 78.1%
vs
Rice: 70.1%
Blocks (L5)
+70.5% more
Rice: 4.2
vs
Pepperdine: 1.2
Steals (L5)
+37.0% more
Rice: 7.3
vs
Pepperdine: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICE Score
52.0
62
PEPP Score
86.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 38.5
54.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.2 / 16.0
16.0 / 9.0
Blocks
1.2 / 4.2
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 46.5
49.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 70.1
81.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 43.6
37.0 / 37.0
Steals
4.6 / 7.3
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 11.5
16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
PEPP
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
PEPP
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PEPP
RICE
PEPP
RICE
ML
62%
20-12
53%
16-14
69%
22-10
53%
16-14
ATS
56%
18-14
60%
18-12
69%
22-10
53%
16-14
TTL
50%
16-16
77%
23-7
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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