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TORONTO

MAPLE LEAFSTOR

15-13-5  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Bridgestone Arena
View Odds Details →

NASHVILLE

PREDATORSNSH

13-16-4  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Nick Blankenburg
GOALTENDER

Nick Blankenburg

#3 | Defense
@
Juuse Saros
GOALTENDER

Juuse Saros

#74 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Nick Blankenburg None-None -- -- --
Juuse Saros None-None 3.00 0.864 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 3.00
-- Save % 0.864
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
📊
PREDATORS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS --
PREDATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Nashville)
Maple LeafsTOR (-3.5) 0 PredatorsNSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Maple Leafs Cover

30.9%

Predators Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)

TOR By 1 goal

12.1%

TOR By 2-3 goals

9.3%

NSH By 1 goal

19.7%

NSH By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
TORONTO
3
NASHVILLE
Simulated Score
3
TORONTO
4
NASHVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Predators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Predators Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Predators (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Predators (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 NSH @ TOR 4 - 5
Dec 20, 2025 TOR @ NSH 3 - 5
Oct 14, 2025 NSH @ TOR 4 - 7
Mar 22, 2025 TOR @ NSH 2 - 5
Dec 4, 2024 NSH @ TOR 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +8.0% more
Nashville: 27.4 vs Toronto: 25.4
Power Play % (L5) +7.1%
Nashville: 18.4% vs Toronto: 11.3%
Hits (L5) +29.8% more
Toronto: 25.5 vs Nashville: 17.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 2.0 3
NSH Score 3.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
68%MONEY32%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
TOR
NSH
TOR
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
0% 0-4
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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