Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Pirates GRAM @ HAMP

GRAMBLING

TIGERSGRAM

3-6  |  Road

81
FINAL
Fri, Dec 19 • 5:00 PM ET
Gateway Center
View Odds Details →

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

5-6  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
PIRATES
0%
TIGERS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
HAMPTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Hampton)
TigersGRAM (-3.5) 0 PiratesHAMP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

38.2%

Pirates Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAMP -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAMP)

GRAM By 1-7 points

21.6%

GRAM By 8-14 points

10.7%

HAMP By 1-7 points

27.2%

HAMP By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
62
GRAMBLING
65
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
68
GRAMBLING
72
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pirates Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pirates (-1) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u138.0 Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u138.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 19, 2025 GRAM @ HAMP 81 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +18.8% more
Hampton: 38.0 vs Grambling: 32.0
Blocks (L5) +9.4% more
Hampton: 3.6 vs Grambling: 3.3
Steals (L5) +11.9% more
Grambling: 7.7 vs Hampton: 6.8
Turnovers (L5) +8.8% more
Grambling: 13.7 vs Hampton: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GRAM Score 62.0 81
HAMP Score 65.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 37.3 32.0 / 31.0
Assists 14.2 / 14.8 12.0 / 20.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.3 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 43.0 / 43.5 45.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 71.8 / 71.3 78.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 38.0 / 32.0 29.0 / 27.0
Steals 6.8 / 7.7 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 13.7 15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GRAM Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
HAMP
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GRAM
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
HAMP Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -4.0
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
GRAM
HAMP
GRAM
ML
53% 17-15
68% 21-10
75% 24-8
68% 17-8
ATS
50% 16-16
61% 19-12
75% 24-8
68% 17-8
TTL
68% 21-10-1
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day ago
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 12 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days ago
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days ago