MID-ATLANTIC CHRISTIAN
MUSTANGSMATC
0-0 | Road
55
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
AGGIESNCAT
6-4 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
MUSTANGS
100%
AGGIES
0%
MUSTANGS
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-53.0
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +53.0 points (North Carolina A&T)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCAT -53.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCAT)
MATC By 1-7 points
0.0%
MATC By 8-14 points
0.0%
NCAT By 1-7 points
0.0%
NCAT By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Mid-Atlantic Christian
36
MID-ATLANTIC CHRISTIAN
North Carolina A&T
89
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Simulated Score
Mid-Atlantic Christian
48
MID-ATLANTIC CHRISTIAN
North Carolina A&T
92
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Aggies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Aggies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Aggies (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Sim
Aggies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
MATC @ NCAT
55 - 95
Dec 21, 2021
MATC @ NCAT
63 - 88
Jan 3, 2020
MATC @ NCAT
61 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+300.0% more
North Carolina A&T: 4.7
vs
Mid-Atlantic Christian: 1.2
Rebounding (L5)
+49.1% more
North Carolina A&T: 41.8
vs
Mid-Atlantic Christian: 28.0
Assists (L5)
+31.5% more
North Carolina A&T: 11.8
vs
Mid-Atlantic Christian: 8.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+24.2%
North Carolina A&T: 76.9%
vs
Mid-Atlantic Christian: 52.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MATC Score
36.0
55
NCAT Score
89.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 16.1
40.0 / 28.0
Assists
11.8 / 8.9
21.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.7 / 1.2
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 36.1
57.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 52.8
63.0 / 44.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 28.0
50.0 / 30.0
Steals
4.0 / 7.8
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 17.5
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MATC
--
NCAT
Advantage
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MATC
--
NCAT
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MATC
--
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCAT
MATC
NCAT
MATC
ML
52%
14-13
75%
3-1
63%
17-10
100%
4-0
ATS
63%
17-10
75%
3-1
64%
18-10
100%
4-0
TTL
69%
18-8-1
75%
3-1
100%
28-0
100%
4-0
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