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CENTRAL MICHIGAN

C MICHIGANCMU

7-5  |  Road

7
FINAL
Fri, Dec 26 • 1:00 PM ET
Ford Field
View Odds Details →

NORTHWESTERN

NORTHWESTERNNU

6-6  |  Home

34
Key Game
Declan Duley
KEY GAME

Declan Duley

#18 | Punter
@
Callen Campbell
KEY GAME

Callen Campbell

#44 | Defensive Lineman
Player
Declan Duley None-None
Callen Campbell None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
C MICHIGAN
0%
📊
NORTHWESTERN
100%
C MICHIGAN --
NORTHWESTERN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Central Michigan)
C MichiganCMU (-3.5) 0 NorthwesternNU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

C Michigan Cover

97.7%

Northwestern Cover

2.3%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around CMU -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CMU)

CMU By 1-6 points

3.8%

CMU By 7-13 points

8.8%

NU By 1-6 points

1.4%

NU By 7-13 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
38
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
10
NORTHWESTERN
Simulated Score
17
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
31
NORTHWESTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI C Michigan Loss
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Northwestern Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI C Michigan (-12.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
B
Sim Northwestern (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o43.5 Loss
Proj Total: 48.0
B
Sim o43.5 Loss
Proj Total: 48.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 26, 2025 CMU @ NU 7 - 34
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +74.6% more
Northwestern: 2.1 vs Central Michigan: 1.2
First Downs (L5) +17.4% more
Northwestern: 19.0 vs Central Michigan: 16.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CMU Score 38.0 7
NU Score 10.0 34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.0 / 16.2 18.0 / 15.0
Rushing Yards 137.5 / 133.7 77.0 / 91.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.31 / 0.27
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.55
Total Yards 334.4 / 327.6 313.0 / 269.0
Turnovers 2.1 / 1.2 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -1.8
NU Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 16.3 ATS +/-: +17.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -1.8
NU Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 16.3 ATS +/-: +17.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.3
NU
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NU
CMU
NU
CMU
ML
67% 2-1
100% 5-0
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
ATS
33% 1-2
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
TTL
100% 3-0
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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