Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Explorers @ Panthers LAS @ HPU

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

4-7  |  Road

72
FINAL
Fri, Dec 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Qubein Center
View Odds Details →

HIGH POINT

PANTHERSHPU

9-3  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
EXPLORERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (High Point)
ExplorersLAS (-3.5) 0 PanthersHPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Explorers Cover

0.8%

Panthers Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HPU -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)

LAS By 1-7 points

0.6%

LAS By 8-14 points

0.1%

HPU By 1-7 points

4.0%

HPU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
63
LA SALLE
87
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
73
LA SALLE
78
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o148.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 19, 2025 LAS @ HPU 72 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +67.7% more
High Point: 11.2 vs La Salle: 6.7
Assists (L5) +24.4% more
High Point: 18.0 vs La Salle: 14.5
Free Throw % (L5) +11.0%
High Point: 71.2% vs La Salle: 60.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.8%
High Point: 50.6% vs La Salle: 42.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAS Score 63.0 72
HPU Score 87.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 31.4 48.0 / 36.0
Assists 18.0 / 14.5 15.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.5 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.6 / 42.8 48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 71.2 / 60.2 75.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 41.1 / 39.0 29.0 / 32.0
Steals 11.2 / 6.7 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 8.5 / 14.7 8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
HPU Advantage
31-5-0 (86.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
HPU Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
LAS
HPU
LAS
ML
80% 28-7
69% 22-10
80% 28-7
69% 22-10
ATS
71% 25-10
78% 25-7
80% 28-7
69% 22-10
TTL
66% 23-12
66% 21-11
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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