TULSA
GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA
10-1 | Road
82
WESTERN KENTUCKY
HILLTOPPERSWKU
7-3 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN HURRICANE
0%
HILLTOPPERS
100%
GOLDEN HURRICANE
--
HILLTOPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
TULSA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Tulsa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TLSA -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TLSA)
TLSA By 1-7 points
13.7%
TLSA By 8-14 points
24.3%
WKU By 1-7 points
4.0%
WKU By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulsa
70
TULSA
Western Kentucky
54
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Tulsa
71
TULSA
Western Kentucky
75
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Hurricane
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hilltoppers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Hurricane (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Hilltoppers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Loss
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 19, 2025
TLSA @ WKU
82 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+10.1% more
Tulsa: 16.8
vs
Western Kentucky: 15.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Tulsa: 50.0%
vs
Western Kentucky: 42.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Tulsa: 43.0%
vs
Western Kentucky: 36.0%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.3%
Tulsa: 81.4%
vs
Western Kentucky: 76.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score
70.0
82
WKU Score
54.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 43.0
41.0 / 33.0
Assists
15.1 / 16.8
15.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 50.0
41.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 81.4
79.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
44.2 / 39.1
39.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.6 / 8.2
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 11.1
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA
Advantage
30-8-0
(79.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
WKU
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA
Advantage
20-15-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
WKU
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.8
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
TLSA
WKU
TLSA
ML
56%
18-14
66%
25-13
66%
21-11
64%
23-13
ATS
53%
17-15
74%
28-10
66%
21-11
64%
23-13
TTL
56%
18-14
58%
22-16
100%
32-0
100%
36-0
