SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
JACKRABBITSSDST
7-6 | Road
87
MILWAUKEE
PANTHERSMILW
4-6 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
JACKRABBITS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
JACKRABBITS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MILW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MILW)
SDST By 1-7 points
24.3%
SDST By 8-14 points
13.7%
MILW By 1-7 points
26.2%
MILW By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
South Dakota State
80
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Milwaukee
81
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
South Dakota State
69
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Milwaukee
73
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 19, 2025
SDST @ MILW
87 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+72.9% more
Milwaukee: 8.7
vs
South Dakota State: 5.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.4%
Milwaukee: 70.7%
vs
South Dakota State: 68.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+10.9% more
South Dakota State: 9.8
vs
Milwaukee: 8.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
South Dakota State: 36.6%
vs
Milwaukee: 26.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SDST Score
80.0
87
MILW Score
81.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.6 / 36.6
42.0 / 39.0
Assists
14.5 / 14.1
16.0 / 22.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.8
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
40.5 / 45.4
46.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
70.7 / 68.4
87.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
37.2 / 34.5
43.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.7 / 5.0
3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 9.8
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDST
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
MILW
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDST
Advantage
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
MILW
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SDST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: 0.0
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MILW
SDST
MILW
SDST
ML
50%
16-16
75%
24-8
69%
22-10
53%
17-15
ATS
47%
15-17
78%
25-7
69%
22-10
53%
17-15
TTL
59%
19-13
53%
17-15
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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