BELMONT
BRUINSBEL
11-1 | Road
84
UC IRVINE
ANTEATERSUCI
7-4 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
ANTEATERS
0%
BRUINS
--
ANTEATERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (UC Irvine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCI -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)
BEL By 1-7 points
0.0%
BEL By 8-14 points
0.0%
UCI By 1-7 points
0.4%
UCI By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Belmont
59
BELMONT
UC Irvine
93
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
Belmont
71
BELMONT
UC Irvine
75
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Anteaters
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Anteaters (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 19, 2025
BEL @ UCI
84 - 58
Dec 19, 2024
UCI @ BEL
92 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+138.1% more
UC Irvine: 5.9
vs
Belmont: 2.5
Rebounding (L5)
+10.0% more
UC Irvine: 41.8
vs
Belmont: 38.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.5%
UC Irvine: 65.9%
vs
Belmont: 63.4%
Assists (L5)
+18.0% more
Belmont: 18.8
vs
UC Irvine: 15.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BEL Score
59.0
84
UCI Score
93.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 43.9
29.0 / 52.0
Assists
15.4 / 18.8
14.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.9 / 2.5
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 52.0
32.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
65.9 / 63.4
59.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 38.0
32.0 / 46.0
Steals
5.4 / 6.0
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 12.9
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
UCI
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BEL
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
UCI
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
BEL
UCI
BEL
ML
57%
20-15
47%
15-17
53%
18-16
62%
20-12
ATS
63%
22-13
56%
18-14
53%
18-16
62%
20-12
TTL
57%
20-15
44%
14-18
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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