AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
REDHAWKS
0%
HUSKIES
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
90.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SEA -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
WASH By 1-7 points
2.7%
WASH By 8-14 points
0.5%
SEA By 1-7 points
10.7%
SEA By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
36
WASHINGTON
Seattle U
54
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
Washington
68
WASHINGTON
Seattle U
81
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Redhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Redhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 90.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 19, 2025
WASH @ SEA
66 - 70
Dec 23, 2024
SEA @ WASH
79 - 70
Dec 17, 2023
WASH @ SEA
100 - 99
Nov 28, 2022
SEA @ WASH
66 - 77
Dec 18, 2021
SEA @ WASH
56 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+86.6% more
Seattle U: 9.5
vs
Washington: 5.1
Turnovers (L5)
+45.3% more
Seattle U: 12.6
vs
Washington: 8.6
Blocks (L5)
+14.0% more
Seattle U: 5.1
vs
Washington: 4.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Seattle U: 50.3%
vs
Washington: 47.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WASH Score
36.0
66
SEA Score
54.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 38.2
14.0 / 7.0
Assists
16.9 / 15.9
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
5.1 / 4.4
10.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 47.4
39.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 78.5
78.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
41.1 / 40.9
34.0 / 43.0
Steals
9.5 / 5.1
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 8.6
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
WASH
SEA
WASH
ML
46%
16-19
45%
15-18
71%
24-10
66%
21-11
ATS
57%
20-15
48%
16-17
71%
24-10
66%
21-11
TTL
49%
17-18
70%
23-10
100%
34-0
100%
32-0