HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

5-6  |  Road

84
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 5:00 PM ET
Gateway Center
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JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

1-9  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
PIRATES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
88.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
JACKSON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Jackson State)
PiratesHAMP (-3.5) 0 TigersJKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pirates Cover

5.5%

Tigers Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JKST -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JKST)

HAMP By 1-7 points

4.0%

HAMP By 8-14 points

0.8%

JKST By 1-7 points

13.7%

JKST By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
36
HAMPTON
52
JACKSON STATE
Simulated Score
68
HAMPTON
72
JACKSON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 88.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 18, 2025 HAMP @ JKST 84 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +46.4% more
Jackson State: 16.4 vs Hampton: 11.2
Free Throw % (L5) +4.2%
Jackson State: 69.9% vs Hampton: 65.7%
Blocks (L5) +41.9% more
Hampton: 3.4 vs Jackson State: 2.0
Assists (L5) +30.7% more
Hampton: 11.3 vs Jackson State: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score 36.0 84
JKST Score 52.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.1 / 27.3 31.0 / 48.0
Assists 7.8 / 11.3 13.0 / 20.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.4 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 32.8 / 41.5 48.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 69.9 / 65.7 81.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 30.1 / 39.0 25.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.9 / 7.7 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 16.4 / 11.2 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2