AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
TIGERS
0%
PIRATES
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
88.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
JACKSON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Jackson State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JKST -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JKST)
HAMP By 1-7 points
4.0%
HAMP By 8-14 points
0.8%
JKST By 1-7 points
13.7%
JKST By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Hampton
36
HAMPTON
Jackson State
52
JACKSON STATE
Simulated Score
Hampton
68
HAMPTON
Jackson State
72
JACKSON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 88.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 18, 2025
HAMP @ JKST
84 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+46.4% more
Jackson State: 16.4
vs
Hampton: 11.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.2%
Jackson State: 69.9%
vs
Hampton: 65.7%
Blocks (L5)
+41.9% more
Hampton: 3.4
vs
Jackson State: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+30.7% more
Hampton: 11.3
vs
Jackson State: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score
36.0
84
JKST Score
52.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.1 / 27.3
31.0 / 48.0
Assists
7.8 / 11.3
13.0 / 20.0
Blocks
2.0 / 3.4
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
32.8 / 41.5
48.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
69.9 / 65.7
81.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
30.1 / 39.0
25.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.9 / 7.7
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.4 / 11.2
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
JKST
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
JKST
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.1
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JKST
HAMP
JKST
HAMP
ML
77%
24-7
53%
17-15
73%
19-7
75%
24-8
ATS
77%
24-7
50%
16-16
73%
19-7
75%
24-8
TTL
58%
18-13
68%
21-10-1
100%
26-0
100%
32-0