Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Highlanders @ Tribe RAD @ W&M

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

5-7  |  Road

83
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Kaplan Arena
View Odds Details →

WILLIAM & MARY

TRIBEW&M

8-3  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
0%
📊
TRIBE
100%
HIGHLANDERS --
TRIBE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Radford)
HighlandersRAD (-3.5) 0 TribeW&M (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Highlanders Cover

100.0%

Tribe Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RAD -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)

RAD By 1-7 points

0.0%

RAD By 8-14 points

0.0%

W&M By 1-7 points

0.0%

W&M By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
107
RADFORD
57
WILLIAM & MARY
Simulated Score
69
RADFORD
73
WILLIAM & MARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Highlanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tribe Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Highlanders (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim Tribe (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 18, 2025 RAD @ W&M 83 - 96
Nov 8, 2024 W&M @ RAD 77 - 89
Nov 23, 2022 RAD @ W&M 51 - 62
Nov 24, 2021 W&M @ RAD 54 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +22.2% more
Radford: 4.4 vs William & Mary: 3.4
Steals (L5) +20.1% more
Radford: 10.8 vs William & Mary: 8.6
Rebounding (L5) +11.5% more
Radford: 36.3 vs William & Mary: 32.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Radford: 39.6% vs William & Mary: 35.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RAD Score 107.0 83
W&M Score 57.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 39.6 24.0 / 33.0
Assists 21.1 / 18.1 14.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.4 / 4.4 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 50.6 / 49.1 48.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 78.3 / 71.5 87.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 32.1 / 36.3 41.0 / 37.0
Steals 8.6 / 10.8 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.6 / 12.5 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RAD
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
W&M Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RAD
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
W&M Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
W&M
RAD
W&M
RAD
ML
55% 17-14
77% 23-7
61% 19-12
76% 22-7
ATS
63% 19-11-1
63% 19-11
61% 19-12
77% 23-7
TTL
61% 19-12
67% 20-10
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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