SIU EDWARDSVILLE
COUGARSSIUE
7-4 | Road
72
EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
2-8 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
COUGARS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Eastern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EIU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EIU)
SIUE By 1-7 points
6.8%
SIUE By 8-14 points
1.7%
EIU By 1-7 points
18.6%
EIU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
SIU Edwardsville
51
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Eastern Illinois
64
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
SIU Edwardsville
67
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Eastern Illinois
72
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
EIU @ SIUE
77 - 71
Feb 28, 2026
EIU @ SIUE
50 - 77
Dec 18, 2025
SIUE @ EIU
72 - 76
Feb 4, 2025
EIU @ SIUE
41 - 66
Jan 7, 2025
SIUE @ EIU
60 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+71.9% more
Eastern Illinois: 14.2
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 8.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.6%
Eastern Illinois: 76.2%
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 63.6%
Assists (L5)
+35.8% more
SIU Edwardsville: 17.0
vs
Eastern Illinois: 10.9
Steals (L5)
+33.2% more
SIU Edwardsville: 11.1
vs
Eastern Illinois: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIUE Score
51.0
72
EIU Score
64.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 30.7
35.0 / 46.0
Assists
10.9 / 17.0
13.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.5
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
39.9 / 46.7
49.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 63.6
76.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
28.8 / 37.2
39.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.4 / 11.1
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 8.3
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIUE
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIUE
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -4.5
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EIU
SIUE
EIU
SIUE
ML
56%
18-14
65%
20-11
74%
23-8
60%
18-12
ATS
50%
16-16
55%
17-14
74%
23-8
60%
18-12
TTL
69%
22-10
48%
15-16
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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