Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Leopards @ 49ers LAF @ CLT

LAFAYETTE

LEOPARDSLAF

3-8  |  Road

67
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Halton Arena
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

4-7  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
100%
📊
49ERS
0%
LEOPARDS --
49ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Charlotte)
LeopardsLAF (-3.5) 0 49ersCLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Leopards Cover

46.0%

49ers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)

LAF By 1-7 points

24.3%

LAF By 8-14 points

13.7%

CLT By 1-7 points

26.2%

CLT By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
LAFAYETTE
39
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
62
LAFAYETTE
73
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 49ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 49ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 49ers (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim 49ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 18, 2025 LAF @ CLT 67 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +21.3% more
Charlotte: 5.7 vs Lafayette: 4.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.1%
Lafayette: 40.4% vs Charlotte: 28.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +9.9%
Lafayette: 80.4% vs Charlotte: 70.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAF Score 38.0 67
CLT Score 39.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.4 / 40.4 55.0 / 42.0
Assists 12.5 / 13.4 21.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.5 6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 42.3 / 43.6 52.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 80.4 89.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 33.4 31.0 / 33.0
Steals 5.7 / 4.7 6.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 12.8 7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAF
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
CLT Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAF
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
CLT Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.0
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
LAF
CLT
LAF
ML
62% 21-13
53% 17-15
67% 22-11
59% 19-13
ATS
68% 23-11
56% 18-14
67% 22-11
59% 19-13
TTL
65% 22-12
50% 16-16
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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