WESTERN ILLINOIS
LEATHERNECKSWIU
4-7 | Road
76
LINDENWOOD
LIONSLIN
6-4 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
LEATHERNECKS
0%
LIONS
100%
LEATHERNECKS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-72.0
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +72.0 points (Western Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WIU -72.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIU)
WIU By 1-7 points
0.0%
WIU By 8-14 points
0.0%
LIN By 1-7 points
0.0%
LIN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Illinois
107
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Lindenwood
35
LINDENWOOD
Simulated Score
Western Illinois
69
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Lindenwood
73
LINDENWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Leathernecks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Leathernecks (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -72.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
LIN @ WIU
91 - 69
Dec 18, 2025
WIU @ LIN
76 - 92
Feb 25, 2025
LIN @ WIU
81 - 86
Dec 21, 2024
WIU @ LIN
65 - 71
Feb 1, 2024
WIU @ LIN
79 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+187.3% more
Lindenwood: 7.0
vs
Western Illinois: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+112.4% more
Lindenwood: 19.7
vs
Western Illinois: 9.3
Steals (L5)
+52.0% more
Lindenwood: 10.2
vs
Western Illinois: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.5%
Lindenwood: 38.8%
vs
Western Illinois: 24.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIU Score
107.0
76
LIN Score
35.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 24.3
47.0 / 23.0
Assists
19.7 / 9.3
20.0 / 12.0
Blocks
7.0 / 2.4
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
53.8 / 40.2
51.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
76.3 / 71.6
56.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
44.6 / 41.6
46.0 / 33.0
Steals
10.2 / 6.7
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 12.7
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIU
5-26-0
(16.1%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
LIN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIU
11-17-0
(39.3%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
LIN
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -0.1
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIN
WIU
LIN
WIU
ML
47%
15-17
45%
14-17
61%
19-12
61%
19-12
ATS
34%
11-21
52%
16-15
61%
19-12
61%
19-12
TTL
53%
17-15
45%
14-17
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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