VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-0 | Road
2
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
0-0-0 | Home
1
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
SHARKS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
19.2%
VGK By 2-3 goals
24.3%
SJ By 1 goal
14.9%
SJ By 2-3 goals
13.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2.01
VEGAS
San Jose
1.5
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 3.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 11, 2026
VGK @ SJ
7 - 2
Dec 23, 2025
SJ @ VGK
2 - 7
Nov 29, 2025
SJ @ VGK
3 - 4
Oct 9, 2025
VGK @ SJ
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2025
SJ @ VGK
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+24.4% more
Vegas: 29.8
vs
San Jose: 22.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.8% more
Vegas: 19.4
vs
San Jose: 15.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.8% more
Vegas: 25.1
vs
San Jose: 22.1
Takeaways (L5)
+54.9% more
San Jose: 3.6
vs
Vegas: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
2.0
2
SJ Score
1.5
1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
VGK
SJ
VGK
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
