SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
0-0-0 | Road
4
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-0 | Home
1
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
SHARKS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
SJ By 1 goal
15.0%
SJ By 2-3 goals
13.6%
VGK By 1 goal
19.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
24.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
1.56
SAN JOSE
Vegas
2.06
VEGAS
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 3.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 11, 2026
VGK @ SJ
7 - 2
Dec 23, 2025
SJ @ VGK
2 - 7
Nov 29, 2025
SJ @ VGK
3 - 4
Oct 9, 2025
VGK @ SJ
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2025
SJ @ VGK
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.7% more
Vegas: 19.4
vs
San Jose: 15.5
Hits (L5)
+17.0% more
Vegas: 28.5
vs
San Jose: 24.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.4% more
Vegas: 25.1
vs
San Jose: 22.1
Takeaways (L5)
+16.8% more
San Jose: 2.1
vs
Vegas: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
1.6
4
VGK Score
2.1
1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
SJ
VGK
SJ
ML
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
