NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
0-0-0 | Road
3
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
0-0-0 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
FLYERS
0%
DEVILS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
NJ By 1 goal
17.2%
NJ By 2-3 goals
17.9%
PHI By 1 goal
17.8%
PHI By 2-3 goals
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
2.93
NEW JERSEY
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
PHI @ NJ
2 - 3
Apr 7, 2026
PHI @ NJ
5 - 1
Nov 29, 2025
PHI @ NJ
5 - 3
Nov 22, 2025
NJ @ PHI
3 - 6
Oct 4, 2025
NJ @ PHI
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+118.0% more
Philadelphia: 1.8
vs
New Jersey: 0.6
Power Play % (L5)
+16.0%
Philadelphia: 21.9%
vs
New Jersey: 5.9%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.1% more
New Jersey: 20.9
vs
Philadelphia: 18.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.6% more
New Jersey: 29.7
vs
Philadelphia: 26.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
2.9
3
PHI Score
3.0
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NJ
PHI
NJ
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-2-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-1
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