WASHINGTON STATE
COUGARSWSU
2-8 | Road
78
EASTERN WASHINGTON
EAGLESEWU
3-8 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
EAGLES
100%
COUGARS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Washington State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WSU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)
WSU By 1-7 points
21.6%
WSU By 8-14 points
27.4%
EWU By 1-7 points
9.3%
EWU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington State
82
WASHINGTON STATE
Eastern Washington
71
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Washington State
65
WASHINGTON STATE
Eastern Washington
78
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 17, 2025
WSU @ EWU
78 - 63
Nov 21, 2024
EWU @ WSU
81 - 96
Nov 27, 2023
EWU @ WSU
72 - 82
Mar 14, 2023
EWU @ WSU
81 - 74
Nov 21, 2022
WSU @ EWU
82 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+9.2% more
Washington State: 14.5
vs
Eastern Washington: 13.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.9%
Washington State: 75.3%
vs
Eastern Washington: 71.3%
Steals (L5)
+35.3% more
Eastern Washington: 6.9
vs
Washington State: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+9.6% more
Eastern Washington: 3.1
vs
Washington State: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSU Score
82.0
78
EWU Score
71.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.7 / 35.1
22.0 / 32.0
Assists
12.4 / 11.9
10.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.1 / 2.8
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 42.7
38.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
71.3 / 75.3
67.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
31.5 / 32.2
27.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.9 / 5.1
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 14.5
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
EWU
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
EWU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EWU
WSU
EWU
WSU
ML
64%
21-12
78%
25-7
69%
22-10
69%
20-9
ATS
64%
21-12
78%
25-7
69%
22-10
69%
20-9
TTL
48%
16-17
62%
20-12
100%
32-0
100%
29-0
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