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LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Sep 23 • 10:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

0-0-0  |  Home

1
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
KINGS --
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Vegas)
KingsLA (-3.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

49.0%

Golden Knights Cover

51.0%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)

LA By 1 goal

17.2%

LA By 2-3 goals

18.1%

VGK By 1 goal

17.7%

VGK By 2-3 goals

19.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2.42
LOS ANGELES
2.47
VEGAS
Simulated Score
2
LOS ANGELES
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim Golden Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 LA @ VGK 1 - 4
Jan 14, 2026 VGK @ LA 3 - 2
Oct 8, 2025 LA @ VGK 6 - 5
Sep 23, 2025 LA @ VGK 3 - 1
Mar 9, 2025 LA @ VGK 6 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +54.4% more
Vegas: 3.5 vs Los Angeles: 2.3
Hits (L5) +39.5% more
Vegas: 36.2 vs Los Angeles: 25.9
Power Play % (L5) +15.8%
Los Angeles: 25.5% vs Vegas: 9.7%
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.7% more
Los Angeles: 28.7 vs Vegas: 25.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LA Score 2.4 3
VGK Score 2.5 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
LA
VGK
LA
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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