EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
16-12-6 | Road
3
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
20-14-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Tristan Jarry
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | None-None | 1.66 | 0.923 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 3.07 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.66 Ldr
GAA
3.07
0.923 Ldr
Save %
0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
BRUINS
0%
OILERS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
EDM By 1 goal
12.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Boston
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Boston
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
BOS @ EDM
6 - 2
Dec 18, 2025
EDM @ BOS
3 - 1
Jan 7, 2025
EDM @ BOS
4 - 0
Dec 19, 2024
BOS @ EDM
2 - 3
Mar 5, 2024
EDM @ BOS
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+49.0% more
Boston: 21.9
vs
Edmonton: 14.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.4% more
Boston: 18.9
vs
Edmonton: 15.3
Takeaways (L5)
+19.7% more
Boston: 4.6
vs
Edmonton: 3.9
Power Play % (L5)
+15.9%
Edmonton: 42.6%
vs
Boston: 26.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.0
3
BOS Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.9 / 15.3
11.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
50.6 / 56.2
54.0 / 46.0
Hits
21.9 / 14.7
22.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
26.8 / 42.6
33.3 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
26.3 / 28.0
26.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 3.9
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
EDM
BOS
EDM
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
