DALLAS
STARSDAL
22-7-5 | Road
5
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
17-14-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.00 | 0.919 | -- |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 4.13 | 0.862 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
4.13
0.919 Ldr
Save %
0.862
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
SHARKS
0%
STARS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Jose)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
DAL By 1 goal
12.1%
DAL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
SJ By 1 goal
19.7%
SJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 5, 2026
SJ @ DAL
0 - 5
Jan 10, 2026
DAL @ SJ
4 - 5
Dec 18, 2025
DAL @ SJ
5 - 3
Dec 5, 2025
SJ @ DAL
1 - 4
Feb 8, 2025
DAL @ SJ
8 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+45.9% more
San Jose: 22.0
vs
Dallas: 15.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.7% more
San Jose: 26.5
vs
Dallas: 21.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.2% more
San Jose: 18.9
vs
Dallas: 17.0
Takeaways (L5)
+12.6% more
Dallas: 5.2
vs
San Jose: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.0
5
SJ Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.9 / 17.0
11.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
47.9 / 50.8
41.5 / 58.5
Hits
22.0 / 15.1
30.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
11.0 / 23.3
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 21.5
37.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 5.2
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
DAL
SJ
DAL
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
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