AI Model Win Probability
MIDSHIPMEN
100%
BLUE HOSE
0%
MIDSHIPMEN
--
BLUE HOSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
PRESBYTERIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Presbyterian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRES -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRES)
NAVY By 1-7 points
13.7%
NAVY By 8-14 points
4.8%
PRES By 1-7 points
25.3%
PRES By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Navy
66
NAVY
Presbyterian
74
PRESBYTERIAN
Simulated Score
Navy
65
NAVY
Presbyterian
68
PRESBYTERIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Hose
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Hose
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Hose (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Blue Hose (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
NAVY @ PRES
76 - 55
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Presbyterian: 37.0%
vs
Navy: 32.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Presbyterian: 45.7%
vs
Navy: 41.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+18.5% more
Navy: 10.1
vs
Presbyterian: 8.3
Assists (L5)
+15.6% more
Navy: 11.7
vs
Presbyterian: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NAVY Score
66.0
76
PRES Score
74.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 32.5
14.0 / 40.0
Assists
9.9 / 11.7
7.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.9
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 41.5
39.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
66.1 / 78.2
64.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
29.5 / 32.3
31.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.0 / 8.1
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
8.3 / 10.1
15.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
PRES
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
PRES
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRES
NAVY
PRES
NAVY
ML
69%
22-10
79%
26-7
80%
24-6
55%
18-15
ATS
59%
19-13
73%
24-9
80%
24-6
55%
18-15
TTL
59%
19-13
73%
24-9
100%
30-0
100%
33-0