Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Greyhounds @ Skyhawks L-MD @ STO

LOYOLA MARYLAND

GREYHOUNDSL-MD

1-3  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 2:00 PM ET
Leo D. Mahoney Arena
View Odds Details →

STONEHILL

SKYHAWKSSTO

1-2  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
100%
📊
SKYHAWKS
0%
GREYHOUNDS --
SKYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
STONEHILL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Stonehill)
GreyhoundsL-MD (-3.5) 0 SkyhawksSTO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Greyhounds Cover

21.2%

Skyhawks Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STO -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STO)

L-MD By 1-7 points

13.7%

L-MD By 8-14 points

4.8%

STO By 1-7 points

25.3%

STO By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
60
LOYOLA MARYLAND
68
STONEHILL
Simulated Score
65
LOYOLA MARYLAND
68
STONEHILL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Skyhawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Skyhawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Skyhawks (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Skyhawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 L-MD @ STO 74 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +22.9% more
Stonehill: 14.2 vs Loyola Maryland: 11.5
Assists (L5) +12.8% more
Stonehill: 14.3 vs Loyola Maryland: 12.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Stonehill: 34.9% vs Loyola Maryland: 32.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +1.8%
Stonehill: 68.3% vs Loyola Maryland: 66.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score 60.0 74
STO Score 68.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 32.8 25.0 / 38.0
Assists 14.3 / 12.7 12.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.2 / 4.3 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 40.5 / 42.0 47.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 68.3 / 66.6 75.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 40.4 / 38.8 36.0 / 29.0
Steals 4.2 / 5.6 3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 11.5 17.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
STO
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
STO
14-15-2 (48.3%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +4.5
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5% Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STO
L-MD
STO
L-MD
ML
45% 15-18
53% 17-15
70% 23-10
66% 21-11
ATS
39% 13-20
56% 18-14
70% 23-10
66% 21-11
TTL
55% 18-15
44% 14-18
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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