UNLV
REBELSUNLV
1-2 | Road
92
MEMPHIS
TIGERSMEM
1-1 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
REBELS
100%
TIGERS
0%
REBELS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
87.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
UNLV By 1-7 points
0.8%
UNLV By 8-14 points
0.1%
MEM By 1-7 points
4.8%
MEM By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
UNLV
32
UNLV
Memphis
55
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
UNLV
74
UNLV
Memphis
78
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 87.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
UNLV @ MEM
92 - 78
Nov 9, 2024
MEM @ UNLV
80 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.3% more
Memphis: 4.5
vs
UNLV: 3.0
Steals (L5)
+24.7% more
Memphis: 9.0
vs
UNLV: 7.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Memphis: 33.1%
vs
UNLV: 27.9%
Assists (L5)
+9.7% more
UNLV: 17.9
vs
Memphis: 16.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNLV Score
32.0
92
MEM Score
55.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 27.9
24.0 / 26.0
Assists
16.2 / 17.9
13.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.0
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 47.6
42.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
65.0 / 69.4
80.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
39.3 / 36.4
32.0 / 36.0
Steals
9.0 / 7.2
8.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 11.5
18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNLV
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
MEM
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNLV
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
MEM
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UNLV
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +3.3
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
UNLV
MEM
UNLV
ML
62%
20-12
50%
17-17
68%
21-10
59%
20-14
ATS
62%
20-12
65%
22-12
68%
21-10
59%
20-14
TTL
66%
21-11
62%
21-13
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
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