Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Demon Deacons @ Tigers WAKE @ MEM

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

18-17  |  Road

69
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Baha Mar Convention Center
View Odds Details →

MEMPHIS

TIGERSMEM

13-19  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
DEMON DEACONS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
DEMON DEACONS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Memphis)
Demon DeaconsWAKE (-3.5) 0 TigersMEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Demon Deacons Cover

46.0%

Tigers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)

WAKE By 1-7 points

24.3%

WAKE By 8-14 points

13.7%

MEM By 1-7 points

26.2%

MEM By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
WAKE FOREST
39
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
73
WAKE FOREST
77
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 WAKE @ MEM 69 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +30.7% more
Memphis: 13.2 vs Wake Forest: 10.1
Steals (L5) +18.7% more
Wake Forest: 9.2 vs Memphis: 7.5
Blocks (L5) +17.4% more
Wake Forest: 4.8 vs Memphis: 4.0
Assists (L5) +11.7% more
Wake Forest: 14.8 vs Memphis: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAKE Score 38.0 69
MEM Score 39.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.0 / 36.3 38.0 / 27.0
Assists 13.1 / 14.8 12.0 / 16.0
Blocks 4.0 / 4.8 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 45.5 41.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 69.3 / 70.6 61.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 38.0 37.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.5 / 9.2 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 10.1 17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAKE Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
MEM
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAKE Advantage
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
MEM
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
WAKE
MEM
WAKE
ML
62% 20-12
49% 17-18
68% 21-10
61% 20-13
ATS
62% 20-12
66% 23-12
68% 21-10
61% 20-13
TTL
66% 21-11
60% 21-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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