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CHARLESTON

COUGARSCOFC

21-11  |  Road

78
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 5:30 PM ET
UVI Sports & Fitness Center
View Odds Details →

EVANSVILLE

PURPLE ACESEVAN

7-25  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
📊
PURPLE ACES
0%
COUGARS --
PURPLE ACES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
EVANSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Evansville)
CougarsCOFC (-3.5) 0 Purple AcesEVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

1.8%

Purple Aces Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EVAN -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EVAN)

COFC By 1-7 points

1.4%

COFC By 8-14 points

0.2%

EVAN By 1-7 points

6.8%

EVAN By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
57
CHARLESTON
78
EVANSVILLE
Simulated Score
82
CHARLESTON
71
EVANSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Purple Aces Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Purple Aces (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Cougars (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 COFC @ EVAN 78 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +50.9% more
Evansville: 14.0 vs Charleston: 9.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Evansville: 26.2% vs Charleston: 22.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Evansville: 43.5% vs Charleston: 41.0%
Blocks (L5) +50.1% more
Charleston: 3.8 vs Evansville: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COFC Score 57.0 78
EVAN Score 78.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.2 / 22.9 21.0 / 42.0
Assists 11.4 / 10.7 10.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.9 / 3.8 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 41.0 38.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 70.7 / 71.2 72.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 28.4 / 35.5 24.0 / 42.0
Steals 5.8 / 5.9 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 9.3 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COFC Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
EVAN
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COFC Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
EVAN
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -9.5 ATS +/-: -3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.8
EVAN
16-13-1
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EVAN
COFC
EVAN
COFC
ML
56% 18-14
66% 19-10
62% 20-12
62% 18-11
ATS
66% 21-11
59% 17-12
62% 20-12
62% 18-11
TTL
62% 20-12
68% 19-9-1
100% 32-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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