TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
19-15 | Road
72
LIBERTY
FLAMESLIB
26-8 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
FLAMES
0%
TIGERS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
LIBERTY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Liberty)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIB -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIB)
TOW By 1-7 points
2.2%
TOW By 8-14 points
0.4%
LIB By 1-7 points
9.3%
LIB By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Towson
57
TOWSON
Liberty
76
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
Towson
65
TOWSON
Liberty
71
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
TOW @ LIB
72 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+136.8% more
Liberty: 18.7
vs
Towson: 7.9
Blocks (L5)
+35.9% more
Liberty: 3.4
vs
Towson: 2.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+14.5%
Liberty: 55.7%
vs
Towson: 41.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.1%
Liberty: 43.5%
vs
Towson: 30.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOW Score
57.0
72
LIB Score
76.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.5 / 30.4
23.0 / 24.0
Assists
18.7 / 7.9
10.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.5
2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
55.7 / 41.2
46.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
65.8 / 66.7
80.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 38.3
25.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.1 / 8.3
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.0 / 10.3
6.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
LIB
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
Advantage
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
LIB
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
TOW
LIB
TOW
ML
50%
17-17
66%
21-11
53%
18-16
62%
20-12
ATS
62%
21-13
66%
21-11
53%
18-16
62%
20-12
TTL
41%
14-20
53%
17-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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