UC SAN DIEGO
TRITONSUCSD
23-11 | Road
87
BRADLEY
BRAVESBRAD
21-13 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
TRITONS
100%
BRAVES
0%
TRITONS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
83.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Bradley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)
UCSD By 1-7 points
4.8%
UCSD By 8-14 points
1.1%
BRAD By 1-7 points
15.3%
BRAD By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UC San Diego
34
UC SAN DIEGO
Bradley
49
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
UC San Diego
65
UC SAN DIEGO
Bradley
72
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 83.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
UCSD @ BRAD
87 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+47.8% more
Bradley: 10.6
vs
UC San Diego: 7.1
Blocks (L5)
+12.2% more
Bradley: 2.4
vs
UC San Diego: 2.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.9%
Bradley: 73.7%
vs
UC San Diego: 61.8%
Assists (L5)
+24.3% more
UC San Diego: 17.6
vs
Bradley: 13.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCSD Score
34.0
87
BRAD Score
49.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 38.5
42.0 / 43.0
Assists
13.3 / 17.6
12.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.1
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 53.2
42.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
73.7 / 61.8
73.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
28.4 / 34.6
38.0 / 33.0
Steals
10.6 / 7.1
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 9.9
14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCSD
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
BRAD
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCSD
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
BRAD
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UCSD
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -6.0
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
UCSD
BRAD
UCSD
ML
65%
22-12
56%
19-15
68%
23-11
65%
22-12
ATS
59%
20-14
50%
17-17
68%
23-11
65%
22-12
TTL
68%
23-11
62%
21-13
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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