WASHINGTON STATE
COUGARSWSU
12-20 | Road
94
ARIZONA STATE
SUN DEVILSASU
17-16 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
SUN DEVILS
0%
COUGARS
--
SUN DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
84.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
ARIZONA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Arizona State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ASU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ASU)
WSU By 1-7 points
5.8%
WSU By 8-14 points
1.4%
ASU By 1-7 points
16.9%
ASU By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington State
35
WASHINGTON STATE
Arizona State
49
ARIZONA STATE
Simulated Score
Washington State
68
WASHINGTON STATE
Arizona State
71
ARIZONA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sun Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sun Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sun Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Sun Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 84.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
WSU @ ASU
94 - 100
Feb 24, 2024
WSU @ ASU
61 - 73
Jan 28, 2023
ASU @ WSU
58 - 75
Jan 5, 2023
WSU @ ASU
71 - 77
Feb 12, 2022
ASU @ WSU
58 - 55
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+36.3% more
Washington State: 15.0
vs
Arizona State: 9.6
Turnovers (L5)
+29.2% more
Washington State: 14.1
vs
Arizona State: 10.0
Rebounding (L5)
+19.8% more
Washington State: 37.8
vs
Arizona State: 30.3
Blocks (L5)
+14.2% more
Washington State: 3.5
vs
Arizona State: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSU Score
35.0
94
ASU Score
49.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 37.9
48.0 / 54.0
Assists
9.6 / 15.0
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.5
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 50.6
59.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
71.3 / 74.1
79.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
30.3 / 37.8
29.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.9 / 7.3
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 14.1
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
ASU
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
ASU
Advantage
20-12-1
(62.5%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
ASU
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ASU
WSU
ASU
WSU
ML
52%
17-16
78%
25-7
68%
21-10
69%
20-9
ATS
52%
17-16
78%
25-7
68%
21-10
69%
20-9
TTL
64%
21-12
62%
20-12
100%
31-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
Houston Cougars Set for Nationally Televised Road Battle at Kans…
Isaiah Marshall's Rocky Start: Kansas QB Shows Flashes but Seeks…