TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
19-15 | Road
73
UC SAN DIEGO
TRITONSUCSD
23-11 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
TRITONS
0%
TIGERS
--
TRITONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
UC SAN DIEGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (UC San Diego)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCSD -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCSD)
TOW By 1-7 points
2.2%
TOW By 8-14 points
0.4%
UCSD By 1-7 points
9.3%
UCSD By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Towson
57
TOWSON
UC San Diego
76
UC SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
Towson
68
TOWSON
UC San Diego
72
UC SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tritons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tritons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tritons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Tritons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
TOW @ UCSD
73 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+90.7% more
UC San Diego: 16.4
vs
Towson: 8.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.8%
UC San Diego: 40.0%
vs
Towson: 28.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
UC San Diego: 50.8%
vs
Towson: 44.2%
Blocks (L5)
+36.6% more
Towson: 4.3
vs
UC San Diego: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOW Score
57.0
73
UCSD Score
76.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.0 / 28.2
64.0 / 31.0
Assists
16.4 / 8.6
18.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.3
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.8 / 44.2
60.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
65.9 / 68.2
47.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 38.6
30.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.8 / 6.9
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 10.2
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
UCSD
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
UCSD
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
UCSD
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCSD
TOW
UCSD
TOW
ML
56%
19-15
66%
21-11
65%
22-12
62%
20-12
ATS
50%
17-17
66%
21-11
65%
22-12
62%
20-12
TTL
62%
21-13
53%
17-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
Rutgers Lands Four-Star Forward Brandon Woodard for 2027 Class
Memphis Basketball's Non-Conference Slate Ranked by Bart Torvik:…
Princeton Basketball Standout A'mire Gill Pledges to Miami (Ohio…