LIBERTY
FLAMESLIB
26-8 | Road
64
BRADLEY
BRAVESBRAD
21-13 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
BRAVES
0%
FLAMES
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
83.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Bradley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)
LIB By 1-7 points
4.8%
LIB By 8-14 points
1.1%
BRAD By 1-7 points
15.3%
BRAD By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Liberty
34
LIBERTY
Bradley
49
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
Liberty
68
LIBERTY
Bradley
73
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 83.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
LIB @ BRAD
64 - 74
Nov 23, 2022
BRAD @ LIB
44 - 55
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+56.8% more
Bradley: 9.0
vs
Liberty: 5.8
Turnovers (L5)
+53.8% more
Bradley: 11.3
vs
Liberty: 7.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Bradley: 39.7%
vs
Liberty: 36.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
Bradley: 73.5%
vs
Liberty: 70.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIB Score
34.0
64
BRAD Score
49.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.7 / 36.7
44.0 / 39.0
Assists
12.9 / 15.8
16.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.9
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 52.5
51.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 70.5
86.0 / 52.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 29.7
36.0 / 20.0
Steals
9.0 / 5.8
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 7.4
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIB
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BRAD
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIB
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
BRAD
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +4.2
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
LIB
BRAD
LIB
ML
65%
22-12
50%
17-17
68%
23-11
53%
18-16
ATS
59%
20-14
62%
21-13
68%
23-11
53%
18-16
TTL
68%
23-11
41%
14-20
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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