Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Catamounts @ Tigers UVM @ PRIN

VERMONT

CATAMOUNTSUVM

22-12  |  Road

79
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 5:00 PM ET
State Farm Field House
View Odds Details →

PRINCETON

TIGERSPRIN

9-20  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
CATAMOUNTS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
PRINCETON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Princeton)
CatamountsUVM (-3.5) 0 TigersPRIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Catamounts Cover

2.3%

Tigers Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRIN -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRIN)

UVM By 1-7 points

1.7%

UVM By 8-14 points

0.3%

PRIN By 1-7 points

8.0%

PRIN By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
70
VERMONT
90
PRINCETON
Simulated Score
65
VERMONT
68
PRINCETON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 30, 2025 UVM @ PRIN 69 - 75
Nov 26, 2025 UVM @ PRIN 79 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +17.2% more
Princeton: 14.4 vs Vermont: 12.3
Steals (L5) +10.1% more
Princeton: 5.0 vs Vermont: 4.6
Blocks (L5) +59.6% more
Vermont: 2.7 vs Princeton: 1.1
Assists (L5) +12.1% more
Vermont: 15.1 vs Princeton: 13.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVM Score 70.0 79
PRIN Score 90.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 37.0 38.0 / 32.0
Assists 13.3 / 15.1 16.0 / 13.0
Blocks 1.1 / 2.7 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 47.5 49.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 69.3 / 74.6 33.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 31.6 29.0 / 39.0
Steals 5.0 / 4.6 4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 12.3 5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVM Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
PRIN
9-20-0 (31.0%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
PRIN Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.9
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRIN
UVM
PRIN
UVM
ML
45% 13-16
56% 19-15
62% 18-11
65% 22-12
ATS
48% 14-15
62% 21-13
62% 18-11
65% 22-12
TTL
72% 21-8
47% 16-18
100% 29-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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