KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
24-11 | Road
81
TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
25-12 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
JAYHAWKS
100%
VOLUNTEERS
0%
JAYHAWKS
--
VOLUNTEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Tennessee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TENN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)
KU By 1-7 points
24.3%
KU By 8-14 points
13.7%
TENN By 1-7 points
26.2%
TENN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas
84
KANSAS
Tennessee
85
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
Kansas
72
KANSAS
Tennessee
75
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Volunteers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Volunteers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
KU @ TENN
81 - 76
Nov 22, 2023
TENN @ KU
60 - 69
Nov 25, 2022
TENN @ KU
64 - 50
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+98.9% more
Tennessee: 7.5
vs
Kansas: 3.8
Assists (L5)
+22.2% more
Tennessee: 18.4
vs
Kansas: 15.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Tennessee: 35.3%
vs
Kansas: 30.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Tennessee: 48.2%
vs
Kansas: 45.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KU Score
84.0
81
TENN Score
85.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 30.2
28.0 / 41.0
Assists
18.4 / 15.1
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.6
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 45.9
41.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 77.4
77.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
39.5 / 42.4
36.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.5 / 3.8
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 12.3
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
TENN
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
TENN
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
KU
TENN
KU
ML
46%
17-20
57%
20-15
64%
21-12
68%
21-10
ATS
54%
20-17
49%
17-18
64%
21-12
68%
21-10
TTL
76%
28-9
60%
21-14
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
Kansas Basketball Secures Melvin Council Jr. for Unprecedented S…