Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rebels @ Scarlet Knights UNLV @ RUTG

UNLV

REBELSUNLV

18-17  |  Road

65
FINAL
Thu, Nov 27 • 4:30 PM ET
Michelob ULTRA Arena
View Odds Details →

RUTGERS

SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG

14-20  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
REBELS
100%
📊
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
REBELS --
SCARLET KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
87.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Rutgers)
RebelsUNLV (-3.5) 0 Scarlet KnightsRUTG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rebels Cover

1.1%

Scarlet Knights Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RUTG -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)

UNLV By 1-7 points

0.8%

UNLV By 8-14 points

0.1%

RUTG By 1-7 points

4.8%

RUTG By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
32
UNLV
55
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
65
UNLV
68
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Scarlet Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Scarlet Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Scarlet Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Scarlet Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 87.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 27, 2025 UNLV @ RUTG 65 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +27.1% more
Rutgers: 4.3 vs UNLV: 3.4
Free Throw % (L5) +6.8%
Rutgers: 70.3% vs UNLV: 63.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
Rutgers: 34.7% vs UNLV: 29.4%
Steals (L5) +40.5% more
UNLV: 8.7 vs Rutgers: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNLV Score 32.0 65
RUTG Score 55.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 29.4 25.0 / 23.0
Assists 10.8 / 16.1 10.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.4 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 40.3 / 43.2 42.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 70.3 / 63.4 78.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 36.2 45.0 / 33.0
Steals 5.2 / 8.7 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 11.7 10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNLV Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
RUTG
14-20-0 (41.2%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNLV
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
RUTG
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UNLV
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +3.3
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
UNLV
RUTG
UNLV
ML
53% 18-16
50% 17-17
70% 23-10
59% 20-14
ATS
68% 23-11
65% 22-12
70% 23-10
59% 20-14
TTL
53% 18-16
62% 21-13
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day, 1 hour ago
Indiana Hoosiers Fans Invade Rutgers Homecoming as Hoosiers Roll…
app 4 days, 20 hours ago
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 7 hours ago
Rutgers Basketball Preseason: Standouts and Storylines from Tues…
yahoo 1 week, 1 day ago
Rutgers Lands Four-Star Forward Brandon Woodard for 2027 Class
yahoo 1 week, 1 day ago