RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
15-17 | Road
71
CHARLOTTE
49ERSCLT
17-17 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
100%
49ERS
0%
SPIDERS
--
49ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
87.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLT -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)
RICH By 1-7 points
0.8%
RICH By 8-14 points
0.1%
CLT By 1-7 points
4.8%
CLT By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Richmond
32
RICHMOND
Charlotte
55
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Richmond
68
RICHMOND
Charlotte
72
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
49ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
49ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
49ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
49ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 87.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
RICH @ CLT
71 - 66
Nov 13, 2024
RICH @ CLT
48 - 65
Dec 16, 2023
CLT @ RICH
56 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+77.4% more
Charlotte: 3.3
vs
Richmond: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+46.4% more
Richmond: 8.7
vs
Charlotte: 4.7
Assists (L5)
+21.9% more
Richmond: 17.1
vs
Charlotte: 13.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.0%
Richmond: 78.3%
vs
Charlotte: 65.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICH Score
32.0
71
CLT Score
55.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 36.3
23.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.4 / 17.1
5.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.3 / 1.9
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 46.0
43.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
65.3 / 78.3
67.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 39.6
28.0 / 37.0
Steals
4.7 / 8.7
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 12.5
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
CLT
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
CLT
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
RICH
CLT
RICH
ML
62%
21-13
53%
17-15
67%
22-11
56%
18-14
ATS
68%
23-11
44%
14-18
67%
22-11
56%
18-14
TTL
65%
22-12
56%
18-14
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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