Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinal @ Billikens STAN @ SLU

STANFORD

CARDINALSTAN

20-13  |  Road

78
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 7:00 PM ET
Acrisure Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

29-6  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINAL
100%
📊
BILLIKENS
0%
CARDINAL --
BILLIKENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Saint Louis)
CardinalSTAN (-3.5) 0 BillikensSLU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinal Cover

2.9%

Billikens Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)

STAN By 1-7 points

2.2%

STAN By 8-14 points

0.4%

SLU By 1-7 points

9.3%

SLU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
STANFORD
76
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
71
STANFORD
76
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Billikens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Billikens Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Billikens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Billikens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 STAN @ SLU 78 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +47.6% more
Saint Louis: 14.6 vs Stanford: 9.9
Assists (L5) +28.5% more
Saint Louis: 16.0 vs Stanford: 12.4
Rebounding (L5) +14.9% more
Saint Louis: 41.5 vs Stanford: 36.1
Field Goal % (L5) +8.2%
Saint Louis: 49.4% vs Stanford: 41.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STAN Score 57.0 78
SLU Score 76.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 29.7 25.0 / 48.0
Assists 16.0 / 12.4 15.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.9 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 49.4 / 41.1 38.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 74.1 93.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 41.5 / 36.1 43.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.3 / 8.8 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.6 / 9.9 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STAN
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STAN
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.9
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
STAN
SLU
STAN
ML
70% 23-10
48% 16-17
68% 21-10
50% 16-16
ATS
73% 24-9
48% 16-17
68% 21-10
50% 16-16
TTL
61% 20-13
55% 18-15
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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