Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Gophers @ Broncos MINN @ SCU

MINNESOTA

GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN

15-18  |  Road

75
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 9:30 PM ET
Acrisure Arena
View Odds Details →

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

26-9  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
📊
BRONCOS
0%
GOLDEN GOPHERS --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Santa Clara)
Golden GophersMINN (-3.5) 0 BroncosSCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Gophers Cover

0.0%

Broncos Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCU -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)

MINN By 1-7 points

0.0%

MINN By 8-14 points

0.0%

SCU By 1-7 points

0.0%

SCU By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
MINNESOTA
101
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
65
MINNESOTA
72
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Broncos Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 MINN @ SCU 75 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +70.4% more
Santa Clara: 5.8 vs Minnesota: 3.4
Steals (L5) +47.8% more
Santa Clara: 8.1 vs Minnesota: 5.5
Rebounding (L5) +24.7% more
Santa Clara: 40.3 vs Minnesota: 32.3
Assists (L5) +17.4% more
Santa Clara: 16.2 vs Minnesota: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MINN Score 57.0 75
SCU Score 101.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.9 / 36.4 52.0 / 29.0
Assists 16.2 / 13.8 20.0 / 19.0
Blocks 5.8 / 3.4 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 46.3 54.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 70.7 / 64.9 73.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 32.3 26.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.1 / 5.5 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 12.1 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MINN
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
SCU Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MINN
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
SCU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.9
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
MINN
SCU
MINN
ML
44% 15-19
48% 16-17
73% 22-8
71% 22-9
ATS
53% 18-16
55% 18-15
74% 23-8
71% 22-9
TTL
47% 16-18
52% 17-16
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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